Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000034 0.000037 0.000040 0.000044 0.000048 0.000052 0.000058
2026-01-25 0.000035 0.000040 0.000045 0.000052 0.000060 0.000069 0.000080
2026-02-01 0.000030 0.000036 0.000042 0.000050 0.000059 0.000071 0.000085
2026-02-08 0.000027 0.000032 0.000039 0.000048 0.000059 0.000072 0.000090
2026-02-15 0.000025 0.000030 0.000038 0.000047 0.000059 0.000074 0.000096
2026-02-22 0.000023 0.000028 0.000036 0.000045 0.000058 0.000076 0.000100
2026-03-01 0.000020 0.000026 0.000033 0.000043 0.000057 0.000075 0.000101
2026-03-08 0.000019 0.000024 0.000031 0.000041 0.000055 0.000074 0.000102
2026-03-15 0.000017 0.000023 0.000030 0.000040 0.000054 0.000074 0.000105
2026-03-22 0.000016 0.000021 0.000028 0.000038 0.000053 0.000074 0.000106
2026-03-29 0.000015 0.000020 0.000027 0.000038 0.000053 0.000074 0.000109
2026-04-05 0.000015 0.000020 0.000027 0.000038 0.000055 0.000079 0.000118
2026-04-12 0.000014 0.000020 0.000028 0.000040 0.000058 0.000085 0.000131
2026-04-19 0.000016 0.000022 0.000032 0.000047 0.000070 0.000107 0.000173
2026-04-26 0.000014 0.000021 0.000030 0.000045 0.000068 0.000106 0.000175
2026-05-03 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000043 0.000066 0.000105 0.000177
2026-05-10 0.000013 0.000019 0.000027 0.000042 0.000067 0.000108 0.000185
2026-05-17 0.000012 0.000018 0.000026 0.000041 0.000065 0.000108 0.000190
2026-05-24 0.000011 0.000016 0.000025 0.000039 0.000063 0.000105 0.000189
2026-05-31 0.000010 0.000015 0.000023 0.000037 0.000061 0.000103 0.000188
2026-06-07 0.000010 0.000015 0.000022 0.000036 0.000060 0.000103 0.000192
2026-06-14 0.000009 0.000014 0.000021 0.000035 0.000058 0.000102 0.000193
2026-06-21 0.000009 0.000013 0.000021 0.000034 0.000058 0.000102 0.000197